Posts Tagged ‘AFL betting’
Early AFL odds: Hawthorn Will Start As $4.75 Favourites
January 24th, 2014 by TJ DilferLast year’s winners bring some serious momentum with them into this season, and they will expect to register some good wins early on in the season, with things kicking off with a trip to Brisbane top face the Lions. Hawtorn are at $1.10 to start the season with a win, and Read the rest of this entry »
Read more »AFL Round One: Dees and Lions Face Long Odds
January 22nd, 2014 by TJ DilferIt’s important to start a season well. It’s not the end of the world if you come out of your first five games with a couple of defeats, and it’s no guarantee that winning all five will see you contesting the flag come the end of the season. But you won’t find too many coaches (or any, if they’re being honest) who wouldn’t bite your hand off if you offered them five wins in the first five games. And the reverse is true, of course.
So spare a thought for Read the rest of this entry »
Read more »AFL Brownlow odds guide for 2014; Tips, betting and expert predictions.
January 15th, 2014 by TJ DilferReigning Brownlow Medal holder Gary Ablett is the outright $7.00 favourite in the 2014 Brownlow Medal Futures market, closely followed by Scott Pendlebury and Nathan Fyfe who are both trading at $10.00. Read the rest of this entry »
Read more »AFL Round 19 Games, Odds and Bets
July 30th, 2013 by TJ DilferThere’s twenty points separating first on the ladder from Port Adelaide in eighth, and leaders Hawthorn run out against sixth-placed Richmond this Saturday – it could be that we’ve got a different-looking ladder when the dust settles after Round 19. If you fancy a bet Read the rest of this entry »
Read more »AFL Round 18 Betting Preview
July 23rd, 2013 by TJ DilferThe run in to the finals starts here, and there have already been plenty of pundits making predictions about how the ladder will look on the last day of the regular season. But the players and the coaches will be Read the rest of this entry »
Read more »Odds For Upcoming AFL Games: Round 16
July 9th, 2013 by TJ DilferThere’s a few games that have caught our eye in Round 16. The Cats made it 11 head-to-head wins on the bounce against the Hawks last weekend, and they’re in action against Melbourne on Saturday. Geelong are overwhelming favourites at $1.001 to win it, while Read the rest of this entry »
Read more »Betting on AFL: Rounds 12 and 13
June 15th, 2013 by adminWe’re looking forward to a good couple of weekends on the bounce in the AFL as we pass the half-way point of the season, and the ladder starts to take the shape that will be crucial Read the rest of this entry »
Read more »Odds For The Weekend’s AFL Fixtures
May 24th, 2013 by adminIt’s round nine in the AFL, and time again to spare a little of the spotlight for the game’s indigenous players – Dreamtime at the ‘G is just one of the compelling head-to-heads over a weekend that could Read the rest of this entry »
Read more »St Kilda a tempting prospect in the AFL betting markets
September 26th, 2009 by adminSaturday has some intriguing horse racing but much of the nation’s attention will inevitably be focused on the AFL grand final. If you’re looking for a short distraction from the track before the spring really gets hectic, where better to look than the MCG?
To recap, Geelong are facing St Kilda in a winner-takes-all battle which has already seen some interesting betting patterns. Despite the fact St Kilda were the form team throughout the regular season, Geelong opened up the online markets by instantly grasping the favourites tag.
As we speak they are still on 1.65 with Betfair compared to 2.48 for St Kilda. The reasons for this apparent discrepancy are numerous. St Kilda did have a wee bit of a wobble towards the end of the conventional season, whereas Geelong were mighty impressive in their last preliminary final against Collingwood. Many therefore feel the wind is with the Cats.
If you’re going to force me to have an opinion, I’d say otherwise. Anything can happen in the final and St Kilda have been better overall throughout the season. By all accounts the weather is going to be rotten as well tomorrow, which may better suit St Kilda’s tough pressing approach. Like I said, it’s a final, so anything can happen, but I’d say St Kilda is the wiser move.
Back to the turf and we have the group 2 Stan Fox Stakes at Randwick, featuring current Caulfield guineas favourite Denman. He’s only got four rivals at present in the 1400m run, although one of them is More Than Great. As such he’s on 1.45 with IASbet – which is actually looking pretty reasonable – if you can find 1.50-odd anywhere, I’d go with that, if not, take the 1.45. I actually mentioned this race earlier in the week and told you to slap something on Denman when he was up on 1.60 in some places. Pay attention.
There’s also the group 1 George Main Stakes at Randwick, which is much harder to call. Racing To Win is the current favourite on 1.90 with Centrebet, but Onemorenomore is looking relatively reasonable on 4.75 and Black Piranha is 6.50. Racing To Win is going to be very hard to beat, but I don’t fancy those odds. A wee wedge on Black Piranha just for fun gets my shout.
Enjoy the (wet) weekend. Turf’s up people.
Read more »Manikato Stakes offers plenty of betting mysteries
September 25th, 2009 by adminThere’s a creeping sense of “they know something I don’t” this Thursday. Sometimes other horse racing punters still put me in a strop. Allow me to elaborate.
Tomorrow night it’s the 1200m Manikato Stakes at Moonee Valley, as mentioned previously in the week. It’s a group 1 race with a strong field, not least Mic Mac, Memsie Stakes winner and all-round hot shot.
It’s also been wet at the track this week and as of Thursday it’s rated as a Dead 5. By all accounts it’s still chucking it down too. Mic Mac has a good record on such a surface, winning the Memsie on turf rated Dead.
However, it’s not him who is leading the online gambling markets – it’s Nicconi, currently on 4.40 with Mic Mac on 4.60 with IASbet.
I suppose you could point to the fact that Mic Mac’s last run was a 1600m – the Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes, where he was second. However, he’s never had a great problem with the 1200m – and was first in the 1200m Aurie’s Star Handicap in August on-yes, you guessed it, a dead track.
What of Nicconi? Granted this horse last won on a short 1000m on September 12 but the record book shows he’s never actually won at 1200m, so why has he edged in front? I have visions of men in dark coats around the back of stables whispering so quietly that not even Nicconi’s pointy ears can hear them.
Granted, it is a pretty open field, but if you feel Nicconi looks the better shout over Mic Mac, please spill the beans and let me know why. And don’t say you can feel it in your waters, that doesn’t wash with my cold British heart.
Besides that, I’m still cautiously going for Mic Mac on this one. But I’d keep it low. A Friday fling, if you will, before the weekend. After all about 500 stone of muscle is colliding in the AFL grand final on Saturday, and hundreds of thousands of dollars, if not millions, will also be taking a bashing as the MCG heaves with 100,000 fans.
Meanwhile I’ll keep my eye on Mic Mac and hope to learn something on Friday night. Turf’s up.
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