Posts Tagged ‘Moonee Valley’

Murray madness, Moonee Valley betting and a look at the NRL and AFL finals

My street cred in the online tennis betting world is in tatters this morning thanks to Andy Murray, who was looking quite plausible for the US Open on 4.00 with Canbet yesterday.

That was until he decided to implode against Marin Cilic in the fourth round and go down in straight sets. Cheers Andy.

Looking on the bright side, Rafael Nadal looked much better in his own fourth round clash with Gael Monfils, showing little signs of his injury troubles to win in four sets. He’s since shrunk to 5.00 for the tournament with Canbet, which is still looking reasonable against Roger Federer’s measly 1.62.

Back to the horse racing tipping now and my hunch, Wanna Play Doctor, note ‘hunch’ that’s H-U-N-C-H, came fourth in the Perth Racing Tv Handicap at Belmont Park on Wednesday. His record is still one win and a fourth place in three starts.

Elsewhere and looking ahead to the weekend racing I’m already intrigued by the 1600m Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes at Moonee Valley on Saturday. Lining up are two early Cox Plate favourites in the shape of El Segundo and Whobegotyou, the former of which has a great record at this venue, not least the Cox Plate itself in 2007. Whobegotyou is last season’s Caulfield Guineas winner and both are at the top of this year’s Cox Plate betting. I’ll be keeping an eye on these two and rest of the field going into the end of the week.

Now on to the markets for the AFL and NRL finals, which are all over the place as the week’s build-ups gather place.

To summarise, the AFL semis are on Friday and Saturday, with Western Bulldogs (1.25) taking on Brisbane Lions (4.00) and Collingwood Magpies (2.12) against Adelaide Crows (1.73), with current odds from Centrenbet.

With the NRL finals, week one starts on Friday with Storm v Sea Eagles, then Saturday sees Titans v Broncos and Bulldogs v Knights, followed by Dragons v Eels on Sunday. Overall current favourites are St George on 3.25, with Melbourne Storm on 5.50. I’ll be monitoring the team news as it happens this week before casting my hat into the ring.

There you go, four sports in one post, that should make you feel better after Murraygate.

Tags: AFL, Andy Murray, Canbet, cox plate, Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes, El Segundo, Moonee Valley, NRL finals, Online tennis betting, Rafael Nadal, tipping, US Open, Whobegotyou
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Memsie promises to give season clues

Attention will rightly be focused on the Golden Rose on Saturday but the hardcore punters among us, including the Pom de Turf, will also have keen eyes on the Memsie stakes over at Caulfield on Saturday.

The attraction lies in the fact horses who have run in the Memsie have often gone on to win the Cox Plate – although it’s not necessarily the winner who goes on to victory in the big one at Moonee Valley later in the season.

Some basics for the Memsie morons out there – it’s a group 2 weight-for-age race over 1400m and there are usually plenty of glamorous names preparing not just for the Plate but also for the Melbourne Cup – who are often not yet as fit as less well-known runners who tend to do quite well.

El Segundo is running on Saturday having already won it once in 2006 and is apparently not showing his age going into a shot at a second.

After the 2006 victory he went on to win the Underwood Stakes and got himself placings in the Caulfield Stakes and Cox Plate later in the same campaign.

So besides him, who else could be worth a look on Saturday? Sea Battle is being ridden Craig Williams, who piloted Miss Finland to victory in this one in 2007, but Sea Battle hasn’t raced since November.

Whobegotyou could be a better shout – he’s the early Cox Plate favourite and did well when resuming to seal second in the recent Liston Stakes – which is probably a better indicator than the glittering historical form but less inspiring early season patter of other familiar names lining up on Saturday. More on this one later in the week.

Back to the Golden Rose build up-now and Denman currently remains the firm favourite at 2.75 with Centrebet. My interest is, however, drifting towards Bombay Sling, at 21.00 with Centrebet, and Porsched, who is currently looking a decent placings bet at 7.50. Interestingly, Centrebet also has outsider Magic Model at 81.00 down from 101.00 earlier in the week, so worth keeping an eye on going into Thursday/Friday.

Tags: Caulfield, Centrebet, cox plate, Denman, Golden Rose, Melbourne Cup, Memsie, Moonee Valley
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