Posts Tagged ‘NRL Betting’
Pray for rain, racing punters
October 3rd, 2009 by admin‘Won’t blame it on myself. I’ll blame it on the weatherman’. Yes turf fans, late-90s pop is my get-out clause for tomorrow thanks to the unpredictable clouds gathering over Sydney on Friday.
Mr Clangtastic remains my shout in the Metropolitan at Randwick tomorrow but he could be pulled from the race if the heavens fail to open. Trainer Marc Conners has been quoted by AAP saying he’ll wait until the last possible moment before making a decision and if the track is good or better he probably won’t be running, such is his preference for the wet.
This begs the question, if he’s not in it, who is going to come out on top? Mr Clangtastic is currently on 5.50 with Sportsbet, while Speed Gifted is current favourite on 3.60 and Ready To Lift is on 6.00 and is my second shout.
I’m not planning to go mental tomorrow though – as the week has gone on the markets for both the ten-race card at Randwick and fixtures for Flemington have become more open and there’s plenty of bookie mantraps ready to chomp your wallet down to size tomorrow.
If you must have a swing at the Epsom Handicap Rangirangdoo has held firm all week and looks reasonable on 3.00 with Sportsbet.
Time to turn back to the NRL betting markets for Friday now, and naturally plenty of cash is going to be put down tomorrow before Sunday and could alter odds slightly, but I don’t expect the head-to-head odds to change much.
Betfair has Melbourne Storm as the favourites on 1.63 and Parramatta Eels are on 2.56. I’ve already said this week that finals betting gives me the creeps, but don’t be fooled by the fact Parramatta have been on a storming run – the Storm are still the better side from the season over all and can become the team of the decade if they win.
On Sunday I’ll make you feel green at the gills by taking you through some of the great NRL upsets, just to cause uncomfortable confusion, but tipsters everywhere are going for the Storm and I’m joining them.
Tomorrow I’ll be providing you with a Randwick overview before racing gets under way – just remember to watch the skies. Turf’s up.
Read more »NRL betting markets refuse to move, like a fat prop
October 2nd, 2009 by adminAs the week passes by it’s clear there’s going to be little movement in the NRL betting markets ahead of the grand final on Sunday.
If you ask me, I’m not a massive finals betting fan – because anything can happen in a final, and it frequently does. Knockout ties in general are very unpredictable – just look at what happened between St Kilda and Geelong in the recent AFL grand final. St Kilda were the marginal outsiders in the betting markets but looked like a good shout thanks to their form throughout the regular season. All was looking good until the end when the Cats pinched it and put a smile back on the face of the bookies. I was one of the ones left with a face like a smacked bum.
Anyway, that said, it’s a very miserable NRL betting fan who doesn’t have at least a little wager for the grand final.
Over at Betfair we see odds of 1.64 for Melbourne and 2.52 for Parramatta. Odds for the Storm have only hovered from about 1.70 to about 1.62, while the Eels started down at about 2.20 and rose somewhat before settling at 2.52 where they look likely to stay. Nothing remarkable about any of this and to be fair they were the best odds I could find on Thursday. Worth a small tickle on Parramatta perhaps, but more on this in the run-up to the final.
There’s a whopping 10 race card at Randwick on Saturday including the aforementioned Epsom Handicap. This is where I’ll be focussing most of my attention at the weekend, especially as mother nature is threatening to intervene.
Forecasts for Sydney today say sunshine and showers on Friday followed by the possibility of a deluge on Saturday. This poses some interesting questions in particular for The Metropolitan which features Mr Clangtastic, currently on 6.50 with Sportingbet.
I’ve picked him out because he has performed for me in the past, especially in the wet, winning the Wyong Cup. Trainer Marc Conners tends to watch the skies and sends him where the rain is but it may come to him on Saturday. So I’d have a wee wedge on that 6.50 now and do a rain dance.
Wyong Gold Cup tipping is mighty close to call
September 4th, 2009 by adminThe Wyong weather means tipping fans may want to take an umbrella and a wad of cash to the Wyong Gold Cup on Friday, where the conditions make for some interesting betting.
It’s a very open field and an ideal chance to test your mettle ahead of Saturday’s Chemlsford Stakes at Randwick, which is shaping up very nicely indeed.
Among those who may like it wet at Wyong is Mr Clangtastic, at 3.70 with Centrebet, but he’s not the only one comfortable after bad weather. There’s been word on the web that Enzedex Eagle can also do well whatever happens with the climate.
Centrebet has Enzedex Eagle installed as the 3.00 favourite and Lodge the Deeds is the second favourite on 3.50 with the same bookmaker.
Yes, that’s three runners hovering between 3.00 and 3.70. Following this trio we’ve got Scarlet in at 9.00. Hence it’s a tricky one but given pretty much all his impressive stuff to date has come following wet weather if I had to I’d go with Mr Clangtastic.
If it starts to chuck it down again, please don’t be tempted by Thunder and Rain – all the way out at 151.00 with Centrebet, which is not worth the pun.
Casting the net to NRL betting now and on Friday the Bulldogs have the carrot of the minor NRL premiership if they can overcome Wests Tigers. The Tigers have rallied recently but lost last time out and so are out of the running for the finals.
It’s hard to see the Bulldogs not making it and you can get 1.92 for the Bulldogs to be leading at half-time and full-time with Betfair. On the other hand the Tigers can really play when they feel like it and will be keen to put on a show for the fans so Tigers at half-time and Bulldogs at full-time at 6.80 with Betfair also looks good.
Tomorrow there will be a few words on the Chelmsford Stakes and plenty more on the rest of Saturday’s racing. Happy Thursday turf lovers.
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